Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.000609 0.000701 0.000798 0.000909 0.001031 0.001162 0.001312
2025-05-18 0.000472 0.000599 0.000744 0.000920 0.001127 0.001361 0.001644
2025-05-25 0.000396 0.000537 0.000707 0.000923 0.001187 0.001496 0.001881
2025-06-01 0.000324 0.000469 0.000652 0.000894 0.001200 0.001570 0.002045
2025-06-08 0.000269 0.000414 0.000605 0.000867 0.001208 0.001632 0.002190
2025-06-15 0.000234 0.000381 0.000581 0.000864 0.001244 0.001727 0.002374
2025-06-22 0.000205 0.000352 0.000560 0.000862 0.001278 0.001818 0.002555
2025-06-29 0.000178 0.000322 0.000534 0.000851 0.001298 0.001888 0.002708
2025-07-06 0.000153 0.000294 0.000506 0.000834 0.001307 0.001944 0.002842
2025-07-13 0.000141 0.000283 0.000504 0.000853 0.001366 0.002067 0.003067
2025-07-20 0.000129 0.000271 0.000498 0.000866 0.001415 0.002177 0.003277
2025-07-27 0.000114 0.000251 0.000479 0.000856 0.001431 0.002240 0.003424
2025-08-03 0.000099 0.000230 0.000456 0.000839 0.001436 0.002289 0.003554
2025-08-10 0.000090 0.000220 0.000451 0.000851 0.001484 0.002400 0.003773
2025-08-17 0.000081 0.000208 0.000441 0.000853 0.001516 0.002490 0.003963
2025-08-24 0.000069 0.000188 0.000414 0.000826 0.001502 0.002509 0.004052
2025-08-31 0.000058 0.000170 0.000389 0.000800 0.001488 0.002528 0.004141
2025-09-07 0.000052 0.000160 0.000379 0.000798 0.001511 0.002601 0.004309
2025-09-14 0.000046 0.000150 0.000369 0.000796 0.001534 0.002675 0.004479
2025-09-21 0.000040 0.000139 0.000355 0.000786 0.001542 0.002726 0.004615
2025-09-28 0.000035 0.000128 0.000339 0.000770 0.001540 0.002761 0.004728
2025-10-05 0.000033 0.000126 0.000341 0.000788 0.001595 0.002887 0.004979
2025-10-12 0.000030 0.000122 0.000339 0.000799 0.001640 0.002996 0.005208